« Home | General Elections Snippets: Myth or Truth? 1) It ... » | Singaporegovt Make-over! » | New Elections Boundaries 5 hours ago, the Governm... » | Part III: Tribute to S. Rajaratnam The Man Who Gav... » | Tribute to S. Rajaratnam 1915-2006When I was typin... » | Part II: True Founders of Singapore The Man Who Ma... » | Fewer Walkovers Better for Ruling Party? » | Elections Issues and Talks? » | Part 1: History and Founding of PAP No “Singapore... » | Note: My Email Address » 

Monday, March 27, 2006 

General Elections: Reloaded

I guess everyone just can’t get enough of election news, information and gossips. You are either craving for more, or totally sick of it. Everyday, election speculations hog the headlines of newspapers. And in these past weeks, PAP has been quite active on the ground and in the build-up to GE. Just a short recap on the past month elections major headlines:

1 March 2006 – “Singapore PM Lee says budget not vote-buying scheme”

2 March 2006 – “Singapore Democrat Leader Charged With Contempt Of Court”

3 March 2006 – “Singapore releases electoral boundaries for next general elections”

6 March 2006 – “Opposition May Contest 52 Seats”

6 March 2006 – “Aljunied GRC MP Cynthia Phua asks PAP leadership about ward line-up”

10 March 2006 – “Opposition parties to contest 57 seats in Singapore's next general elections”

13 March 2006 – “PAP to field up to 20 new GE candidates: PM”

14 March 2006 – “Bankrupt Singapore opposition leader ordered to pay up”

15 March 2006 – “Presence of 'Uncle Yap' fuels talk of JBJ-Chee link”

20 March 2006 – “SM Goh tasked to help PAP retake opposition wards”

20 March 2006 – “Steve Chia raises stakes for himself - quit politics if he doesn't win this general election”

23 March 2006 – “PAP introduces first 3 new candidates for upcoming GE”

24 March 2006 – “PAP begins introducing 'new breed' of candidates”

25 March 2006 – “PAP to introduce second group of new candidates on Tuesday”

25 March 2006 – “An 'active supporter of self-renewal', MP Yatiman says he wants to call it a day”

26 March 2006 – “Two women high-fliers seen at ward events”

26 March 2006 – “Jaya to lead East Coast GRC team”

26 March 2006 – “Yeo Cheow Tong says he will step down if asked by PM Lee”

26 March 2006 – “Another possible new candidate for PAP seen at Tampines community event”

27 March 2006 – “Three new faces at PAP walkabouts in 2 places”

27 March 2006 – “Short of candidates? Not now, says NSP”

27 March 2006 – “Lim Hwee Hua moves to Aljunied GRC”

27 March 2006 – “SDA tests Tampines”

27 March 2006 – “Tony Tan to retire from politics – Khaw to take over Sembawang”


As usual, this blog (other than providing information) asks more questions than providing answers. Looking at the month of March, the news reports begins with the “sweeteners” from the Budget, then the introduction of new PAP candidates and most recently, the movements (retirement and reallocation) of Ministers and MPs. Perhaps any journalist reading this might be interested in taking up the following issues.

Which MPs are leaving?
Here is a mathematics question: There are 84 seats in parliament and PM Lee mentioned that they will introduce up to 20 new candidates for the coming GE. So far, only 3 MPs (Dr Tony Tan, Yatiman Yusof and Othman Haron Eusofe) have publicly announced that they will not be standing for the coming GE. Another 2 MPs (Dr Tan Cheng Bock and Dr Wang Kai Yuen) had their wards swallowed up by the GRCs are unlikely to stand. And so, my final question is which are the 15 MPs (minimum, but could be more than 15 MPs) who will step down? Of course, everyone has their own thoughts on the 15 and here is mine.

1) Lee Yock Suan
2) David Lim
3) Cedric Foo
4) Cynthia Phua
5) Tan Soo Khoon
6) Dr Ong Chit Chung
7) Dr John Chen
8) Chew Heng Ching
9) Assoc Prof Low Seow Chay
10) Yeo Guat Kwang
11) Chay Wai Chuen
12) Dr Ong Seh Hong
13) Andy Gan
14) R Ravindran
15) Leong Horn Kee

Notice that I’ve not mentioned any Minister stepping down. Reason is that usually, the PM will not drop the Minister before the elections unless he voluntarily steps down before elections. By dropping the Minister before elections, it might potential cause voting problems for the GRC (since Ministers usually heads the GRCs). After the GE is over, when the PM selects his list of Cabinet Ministers, we will know who is "in" and who is "out". If not, another Cabinet Reshuffling will take place around 1-2 years after the GE to have a renewal of Ministers. The telltale sign is when you have a strong number two anchor Minister in that same GRC. Example: Jurong GRC – Lim Boon Heng with Tharman Shanmugaratnam, Jalan Besar GRC – Dr Lee Boon Yang with Dr Yaacob Ibrahim. If a Minister “retires” there is a least another Minister to carry that GRC. But since they only retire as a Minister but not as a MP, there will not be any by-elections for that GRC. However, this is just a trend and observation. It is not conclusive.

Will we have enough Ministers?
Yes, there is no typo in that question. You might be wondering that Singapore has already more Ministers than we truly needs. Not true. Here is a list of possible Ministers retiring after the GE and reshuffling (again, it is just a prediction, not a conclusion):

1) Dr Lee Boon Yang – Minister for Information, Communication and the Arts
2) Lim Boon Heng – Minister for Prime Minister’s Office
3) Prof S Jayakumar – Deputy Prime Minister
4) Yeo Cheow Tong – Minister for Transport
5) Lee Kuan Yew – Minister Mentor (contentious)

In the present Cabinet, there are 19 full Ministers, 2 Senior Minister of States and 6 Minister of States. At present, there are 14 Ministries, not counting the PMO. After promoting the 2 Senior Minister of States (Dr Balaji Sadasivan and Prof Ho Peng Kee), we still see some vacancies (as you will have some Ministers to second certain Ministries). It is unlikely that any of the present 6 Ministers of State be promoted the full Minister, but some are likely to be promoted to Senior Ministers of State. After the GE, it would be interested to see who will deputize the Prime Minister should DPM Jayakumar retires. The candidates are likely to be George Yeo or Teo Chee Hean. Thus, we are likely to see some new PAP candidates in this election that will jump straight into office similar to GE 2001.

In GE 2001, Khaw Boon Wan, Raymond Lim, Tharman Shanmugaratnam, Vivian Balakrishnan, Balaji Sadasivan, Ng Eng Hen and Cedric Foo were appointed Senior Minister of States and Minister of States after the elections. This year, we are going to see some candidates going through the same path. My bet is that you will see some candidates with military background (LG Lim Chuan Poh or Major-General Lim Kim Choon) and female candidates jump into the post of Minister of States. And other present MPs (eg: Parliamentary Secretary Dr Maliki) that have done well might be promoted as well.

Are we going to see more Ministers reallocating to other GRCs?
Yes, I think so. So far, only Khaw Boon Wan has confirmed moving to Sembawang GRC. There are some strong GRCs that would not require 2 heavy-weight Ministers in the same GRC like Bishan-Toa Payoh GRC (DPM Wong Kan Seng and Dr Ng Eng Hen) and Holland-Bukit Panjang GRC (Lim Swee Say and Dr Vivian Balakrishnan).

In other GRCs, Tharman is seconding Lim Boon Yang and Dr Yaacob Ibrahim is seconding Dr Lee Boon Yang; retirement and replacement is foreseeable. Thus, I would expect the reallocation of Dr Ng and Dr Vivian to be strategic in seconding Cabinet Ministers who are likely to step down. Maybe Dr Ng might join Hong Kah GRC to second Yeo Cheow Tong and Dr Vivian might move to Tanjong Pagar GRC or East Coast GRC.


Coming Soon: “Super Seven minus One” – Report Card of Ministers
Khaw Boon Wan and Tharman Shanmugaratnam were appointed Senior Ministers of State straight after the GE 2001, in their first year of politics. Dr Vivian Balakrishnan, Raymond Lim, Dr Ng Eng Hen, Dr Balaji Sadasivan and Cedric Foo were appointed Ministers of State immediately after their first year of politics as well. With the exception of Cedric Foo, who has resigned from office, the rest of the 6 were either full Cabinet Ministers or Senior Minister of State. Since their appointment until now, what have they done and how have they performed? What were the sticky issues that they have handled not so well and how have they dealt with their public image, grassroots issues and foreign media? All that and more, in the next article.

Mr Yeo Cheow Tong is offering to step down shd our PM Lee wanted him to do so.

This rather strange given that he isn't exactly the oldest minister around (MM dun count, he is never too old.)

Maybe our PM also noticed Mr Yeo's less than sterling performance. I really hope that PM can do the "right thing" lol.

Hi at82

I guess I agree with you. Well, I am never a huge fan of Yeo Cheow Tong. Haha.... =P

Cheers!
T

He is a problematic guy. I guess they are keeping him when a need for a sheep arises. Or maybe there is a plan now.

hey T!

have you been to this website?
http://yeocheowtong.com/

M

Hi Melange

Yes, I have. If I am not wrong, it was setup by someone who had some disagreements with YCT's wife, who is a lawyer. But I might be wrong about it.

Hi Amatu

Well, MOT is not an easy ministry to manage. LTA is problematic as well. But I guess, ultimately, the Minister have to answer to the actions of his ministry.

Cheers!
T

Duh...

We must nurture talent pool, DR YEO CT seems too mellow! He has done excellent job for damage conytrol Bt. Panjang LRT. Dr Khaw repolish LRT SAGA for him! Hence, Jurong miss a opportunity to build a hospital at backbone of S'PORE chemical island and SAF live firing range!

Really sad, a heavy weight minister lost his voice to speak the truth of working, playing and staying in JURONG.

It seems JURONG, tuas, gedong is isolated west end lacking of creative conducive enivorment for recreational but SAF playground of thunderous live firing and screaming jets!

Nice site!
[url=http://upfnruyj.com/idyp/wbur.html]My homepage[/url] | [url=http://fcciqfaa.com/dynl/hptg.html]Cool site[/url]

Good design!
http://upfnruyj.com/idyp/wbur.html | http://anxkvbkd.com/tngv/rhgk.html

Hello! 

What does everyone think of what is going on in Iraq?

Wow, I've found the same to be true too!  Where did you get that at?  

See you soon! Girly Girl 



[color=#3993ff][url=http://survey-free-paid-canadapceadwzkutt.blogspot.com]how I make money with paid surveys[/url][/color]

Hello! 

what is your favorite color of....mine is pink!

Wow, I've found the same to be true too!  Where did you get that at?  

Bye, - MyGirl! 



[color=#3993ff][url=http://free-paid-surveysnyvkvc.blogspot.com]see how I make free money with paid online surveys[/url][/color]

Keep up the good work film editing schools

Its not my first time to go to see this site, i am browsing this site dailly and obtain pleasant facts from here every day.


my blog post grupa kreatywna

C'est sympa, Ici j'ai appris beaucoup de choses.

Je laisse mon premier commentaire sur ce site

Feel free to surf to my site Rose

Hi there! I just would like to give a huge thumbs up for the nice
info you could have right here on this post. I shall
be coming back to your weblog for extra soon.

Visit my blog post; adidas watches adidas seoul watch black gold

Howdy! I simply would like to give an enormous thumbs up for the
nice info you have got right here on this post. I shall be
coming again to your weblog for extra soon.


Here is my weblog - seoul garden restaurant malaysia melaka

how to get pregnant
While surgery can solve a lot of these cases, some women still have to have medical procedures and treatments that cause infertility. The India-based company provides free health consultation and authentic Ayurvedic treatment for all kinds of diseases and conditions.

Hmm it seems like your blog ate my first comment (it was
super long) so I guess I'll just sum it up what I wrote and say, I'm thoroughly enjoying your blog.
I as well am an aspiring blog writer but I'm still new to everything. Do you have any recommendations for inexperienced blog writers? I'd
genuinely appreciate it.

my web page :: worldconnect

Post a Comment

The Idealist

  • Thrasymachus
  • Propagating In: Singapore
  • The Critic, The Philosopher, The Pragmatist, The Moralist, The Egalitarian, The Confused, The True-Blue Singaporean
My profile

Email Me At:

    thrasymachus.sg@gmail.com

Singapore Time

Poll Your Agony!

    NEW!
    Do you support the government's decision in barring certain Civil Society Organization members from the IMF/WB meetings?
    Fully support!
    Yes, but could have been more lenient
    Don't know...
    No, the govt is too rigid
    Absolute no!
    I don't give a damn about it...
    Current results


    Which topic do you wish to read at Singaporegovt?
    SM Goh Chok Tong: Behind the Scene
    Oppositions: Singapore Democratic Party
    Super Seven: Khaw Boon Wan, Dr Ng Eng Hen
    Super Seven II: Dr Vivian, Raymond Lim
    History V: Devan Nair
    History VI: Dr Goh Keng Swee
    Who is Thrasymachus (aka me)?
    All of the Above!
    None of the Above - I hate reading!
    Current results


    NEW!
    What do you think of the General Election 2006 (GE) Results?
    Accurately reflects the political preference of Singaporeans
    Somewhat accurate in reflecting Singapore's political preference
    PAP's win was too flattering
    Oppositions' percentage was too high
    Not accurate in reflecting the political preference of Singaporeans
    Totally inaccurate!
    Current results


    NEW!
    What do you think of the Gomez Issue?
    He is guilty of deceiving!
    He is not guilty!
    The whole issue was overblown by the PAP & media
    Don't care, Don't know!
    Current results


    NEW!
    What do you think of this site (singaporegovt.blogspot)?
    Good, Fair, Objective, Interesting Read
    Above Average
    Average
    Below Average
    Total Rubbish!
    Total mouthpiece of the PAP government!
    I HATE this site!
    I LOVE this site!
    Current results


    NEW!
    Which (Senior) Minister of State do you wish to see promoted to Full Minister?
    Ho Peng Kee
    Dr Balaji Sadasivan
    Zainul Abidin Rasheed
    Heng Chee How
    Lim Hwee Hua
    Grace Fu
    Radm Lui Teck Yew
    Lim Yi Shyan
    Gan Kim Yong
    Current results


    Which Election Candidate do you prefer?
    Low Thia Khiang (WP)
    Chiam See Tong (SDA)
    Sylvia Lim (WP)
    Chee Soon Juan (SDP)
    J.B. Jeyaratnam (Formerly WP)
    Lee Hsien Loong (PAP)
    Dr Ng Eng Hen (PAP)
    Sitoh Yih Pin (PAP)
    Eric Low (PAP)
    Current results


    How do you rate PM Lee Hsien Loong's Performance (as Prime Minister) so far?
    Excellent
    Very Good
    Above Expectation
    Average
    Poor ("I can even do better!")
    Very Poor
    Current results


    Do you have confidence in PM Lee Hsien Loong's leadership and his team of Ministers?
    Yes
    No
    Too early to tell...
    Any one but them!
    Current results


    Do you think Lee Hsien Loong became Prime Minister on his own merits?
    Yes!
    Yes! ("He was the best candidate")
    No! ("He has obvious backing from LKY")
    No! ("There wasn't any alternative candidate to challenge him in the first place")
    Current results


    Which of the (Junior) Minister to you wish to see him/her step down? (Part III)
    Raymond Lim
    Balaji Sadasivan
    Ho Peng Kee
    Chan Soo Sen
    Lim Hwee Hua
    Heng Chee How
    Gan Kim Yong
    Yu-Foo Yee Shoon
    Zainul Abidin
    Current results


    Which Minister do you wish to see him step down? (Part I)
    Lee Hsien Loong
    Goh Chok Tong
    Lee Kuan Yew
    Lim Boon Heng
    Lee Boon Yang
    Yeo Cheow Tong
    Mah Bow Tan
    George Yeo
    Teo Chee Hean
    Current results


    Which Minister do you wish to see him step down? (Part II)
    Lim Hng Kiang
    Wong Kan Seng
    S Jayakumar
    Tharman Shanmuguratnam
    Lim Swee Say
    Ng Eng Hen
    Vivian Balakrishnan
    Khaw Boon Wan
    Yaacob Ibrahim
    Current results


    What is your utmost concern for the coming General Elections?
    "Bread & Butter" issues - Jobs, economy, salary, etc
    Freedom of Speech - or lack of
    HDB issues - upgrading, high housing cost, etc
    International Issues - govt's handling of foreign relationships
    Transport issues - LTA, NEL, MRT
    Change of Leadership - from SM Goh to PM Lee
    All of the above
    I'll vote any party except PAP!
    I'll only vote for PAP!
    Current results


    Which is your favourite Minister?
    PM Lee Hsien Loong
    SM Goh Chok Tong
    MM Lee Kuan Yew
    DPM Jayakumar
    Dr Vivian Balakrishnan
    Teo Chee Hean
    George Yeo
    Tharman S.
    I Hate of them!
    Current results

Faces of Singapore

    www.flickr.com
    Thrasymachus' photos More of Thrasymachus' photos

Disclaimer

    The author of this blog bears no responsibility for any misinterpretation, libel, defamation, injury and death as a result of reading this blog. Contents are high subjective and readers should read with caution. All readers should be 18 years and above, with half a decent brain to judge the validity of the articles.

Search Blog


    Search WWW Search singaporegovt.blogspot.com

Number of Visitors

Powered by Blogger
and Blogger Templates